What is the expected impact on the terminal value if the T-bill rate decreases by 40 basis points?

When the T-bill rate decreases, it typically signals a decline in the risk-free rate of return, which is a key component in discounting cash flows to determine the present value of an investment, including the calculation of terminal value. The terminal value represents the anticipated cash flows a company will generate beyond the explicit forecast period, discounted back to present value.

A lower T-bill rate implies a lower discount rate applied in the discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation model. Therefore, if the discount rate decreases, future cash flows—which are strengths for the terminal value calculation—are perceived as more valuable when discounted to present value. This results in an increase in the terminal value.

Consequently, a decrease in the T-bill rate by 40 basis points would increase the present value of future cash flows used to determine the terminal value, leading to a higher terminal value.